Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026". Event total: 290 tweets with 290 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual 280-299 (290)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★280-299 | $1.00 | 100% | $1,325,389 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @ArthurMacwaters: America is unironically the greatest civilization to ever exist. On every axis. And it’s worth celebrating with al…
RT @SadieSupaDoge: Nicki Minaj template dropped… so I became the baddie. 🔥🚀 @Grok @Imagine https://t.co/m7G9YXToB2
RT @SpaceX: Watch Starship's twelfth flight test https://t.co/caRB1thMlg
RT @engineers_feed: SpaceX now launches more rockets than every other country combined. This has never happened before in the history of s…
Try it out! https://t.co/TfFKLa3cBu
RT @ResisttheMS: CNBC: "When you look at the SpaceX prospectus, what do you see in it that sounds fantastical… but you might think is real…
https://t.co/yjHT8jvxKJ
RT @isaac5xx: @elonmusk Crazy how Starbase is starting to sound normal now 🚀 Are we witnessing the beginning of an actual space city?
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 290 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026 (May 15, 2026 – May 22, 2026 UTC). The 280-299 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (280-299). Closest was 7D at 146 (140-159).
The official count is 290 tweets between May 15, 2026 – May 22, 2026 UTC. That falls in the 280-299 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (280-299). Closest was 7D at 146 (140-159).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 15, 2026 – May 22, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 290-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.