Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 30 - June 1, 2026". Event total: 36 tweets with 36 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Actual <40 (36)
| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★<40 | $1.00 | 100% | $267,217 | Buy |
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
RT @GadSaad: I LOVE the United States. That's it.
RT @frank_thelen: Endlich konnte ich FSD in Deutschland testen. Wir sind fast eine Stunde durch Dörfer, über Landstraßen und Autobahnen gef…
RT @pmarca: I have found it, the Platonic form of every New York Times op-ed. https://t.co/YgYhFElgOg
RT @yunta_tsai: I like how Grok Build steadily updates the experiment notes for the optimization goal I gave it this weekend. It’s a big j…
RT @RaminNasibov: Anyone who used a computer between 1985-2010. What’s the one game you still think about?
True https://t.co/sKtaF2breQ
RT @yunta_tsai: The state of AI right now https://t.co/79Wvo9rDgs
True: “They gave stock to everyone. There are a bunch of highly skilled workers that we on X never think of, like Tube Benders, Orbital Tube Welders, Cleanroom Technicians, etc. that are going to make significant fortunes.” https://t.co/Q9LPnubCU5
Full event window
Elon Musk posted 36 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 30 - June 1, 2026 (May 30, 2026 – Jun 1, 2026 UTC). The <40 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 47 (40-64).
The official count is 36 tweets between May 30, 2026 – Jun 1, 2026 UTC. That falls in the <40 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 47 (40-64).
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 30, 2026 – Jun 1, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 36-tweet final total shown on this page.
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
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