Total Tweets
34
EventElon Musk Tweet Count Polymarket May 4, 2026 – May 6, 2026: 34 Tweets (<40 Won)
Status
Ended
Full results for the Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026". Event total: 34 tweets with 34 posts archived in the official UTC window.
Projection
34
pace-based 24H Avg
63.5
per hour Volume
$1.70M
PolymarketPredict
Actual <40 (34)
7D
50
loss 40-64
15D
55
loss 40-64
30D
66
loss 65-89
45D
70
loss 65-89
60D
78
loss 65-89
75D
78
loss 65-89
90D
80
loss 65-89
Charts
Polymarket Brackets
Polymarket ↗| Outcome | Price | % Chance | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★<40 | $1.00 | 100% | $565,000 | Buy |
Predict history
Bracket hit rate · Jan 2026+
7D
2-day 72
23W / 49L 32%
7-day 47
8W / 39L 17%
15D
2-day 72
20W / 52L 28%
7-day 47
4W / 43L 9%
30D
2-day 72
23W / 49L 32%
7-day 47
5W / 42L 11%
45D
2-day 72
26W / 46L 36%
7-day 47
3W / 44L 6%
60D
2-day 72
25W / 47L 35%
7-day 47
3W / 44L 6%
75D
2-day 72
26W / 46L 36%
7-day 47
4W / 43L 9%
90D
2-day 72
20W / 52L 28%
7-day 47
3W / 44L 6%
| Line | 2-day 72 | 7-day 47 |
|---|---|---|
| 7D | 23W / 49L 32% | 8W / 39L 17% |
| 15D | 20W / 52L 28% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 30D | 23W / 49L 32% | 5W / 42L 11% |
| 45D | 26W / 46L 36% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 60D | 25W / 47L 35% | 3W / 44L 6% |
| 75D | 26W / 46L 36% | 4W / 43L 9% |
| 90D | 20W / 52L 28% | 3W / 44L 6% |
Event Posts (34)
- Elon Musk
RT @cremieuxrecueil: A ten strike law preventing people from leaving prison after that many violent crime convictions would reduce period v…
- Elon Musk
The Moon https://t.co/OCc2r4MwsS
- Elon Musk
RT @MarioNawfal: 🇺🇸 Rogan and Chamath just nailed why Elon doesn't care what you think about him. He's not playing defense. He's not manag…
- Elon Musk
Progress https://t.co/MDjSrG2Psd
- Elon Musk
RT @TheChiefNerd: CHAMATH: “Who can you trust to have some super intelligence? … The only person that we can trust is Elon … I feel like he…
- Elon Musk
RT @SawyerMerritt: 37 airlines have now either installed or committed to installing SpaceX's @Starlink on their fleet: • Southwest Airline…
- Elon Musk
RT @SpaceX: Falcon 9 launches 24 @Starlink satellites from California https://t.co/lynYAHk3b7
- Elon Musk
RT @boringcompany: TBC is excited to announce the first residential Music City Loop station agreement, serving those living at the beautifu…
Event Post Language
Full event window
elonelon muskmuskpeoplerightssinceteslaaboutairlinesallbornchamathdiversityeithergrokhe'smostonlyplayingstarlinkstarshipthinkthink abouttrusttryyearsableabsolutelyacroactivistafteragreement
Elon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026
Elon Musk posted 34 tweets during Elon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026 (May 4, 2026 – May 6, 2026 UTC). The <40 bracket resolved Yes on Polymarket — Yes holders on that range won; every other bracket paid No. None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 50 (40-64).
What was the final result for Elon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026?
The official count is 34 tweets between May 4, 2026 – May 6, 2026 UTC. That falls in the <40 bracket, which resolved Yes on Polymarket. This total is frozen and will not change.
Which predict lookbacks called the right bracket?
None of the standard lookbacks (7D, 15D, 30D, 45D, 60D, 75D, 90D) hit the winning bracket (<40). Closest was 7D at 50 (40-64).
How were tweets counted for this window?
Posts come from XTracker for the UTC window May 4, 2026 – May 6, 2026. Only tweets timestamped inside that range count toward the 34-tweet final total shown on this page.
Where can I see the settled market?
Use the Polymarket link at the top of this page for final bracket payouts, historical odds, and market resolution details.
How the charts work — completed market guide on the FAQ page.